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Utah gets the day off, but that doesn't mean games won't impact

Though Utah gets the day off, it doesn't mean the games this day aren't important and won't impact the Utes. This is now where teams begin jockying for the conference championship race and today could mark the thinning of a few contenders. 

San Diego State @ New Mexico 

Never, ever cheer for the road team to win in a tight conference race. The Aztecs already own a victory over UNLV on the road, so winning in The Pit today would give them an advantage a team like Utah might not have when it's all said and done. A loss here doesn't knock SDSU out of it, but it puts them two full losses behind the Utes and that's huge. 

BYU @ UNLV

The Rebels' conference championship hopes died on the plaines of Laramie, but they can still do a lot of damage, especially today as they host BYU. The Cougars already have a bad loss, which came at home to UNLV. They can make up that with a win tonight, but losing this one would put them two games behind Utah in the title race and all Utah would need to do is split their next four games and it's very probable the worst they do get is a split decision. 

So Go Lobos and Rebels. It's tough cheering for New Mexico, but it's needed. 

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The stars are aligning and both games work to Utah advantage. If the Utes beat UNLV on Wednesday, we can comfortably afford a loss to one and only one of the games against BYU and UNM, and of course avoid losing the last trap game against TCU. We’re in a good position here.

by cousin on Feb 22, 2009 2:19 AM MST reply actions  

Yup, win Wednesday and Utah is sitting pretty.

I think it’s looking very likely the worst the Utes do is split the championship.

Hopefully, though, they can get one more road win before the regular season ends.

by JazzyUte on Feb 22, 2009 2:27 AM MST reply actions  

If we beat BYU or UNM on the road we'll win the conference outright.

If the top 3 teams (Utah, SDSU and UNM) end tied at 12-4, then the tournament would look like this:

Utah 12-4 with losses to SDSU, UNM, UNLV and BYU
SDSU 12-4 with losses to Utah, Wyoming, BYU, New Mexico
UNM 12-4 with losses to Utah, SDSU, UNLV, BYU
BYU 11-5 with losses to Utah, UNLV (2), SDSU, UNM
UNLV 9-7 with losses to Utah, Wyoming, SDSU (2), New Mexico, TCU, CSU
Wyoming 6-10 with wins over SDSU, CSU, AF(2), UNLV, TCU
TCU 5-11 with wins over CSU, UNLV, AF (2), Wyoming
CSU 5-11 with wins over Wyoming, AF (2), TCU, UNLV
AF 0-16 with no wins

I’m not 100% sure what the tiebreakers are, but I know head-to-head is first. Since all of the top 3 went 1-1 against the other teams, that won’t help. i think the next tiebreaker is record against the next best team. If we sweep BYU then we should be #1. If we don’t then everyone will be 1-1 against BYU also, which will move the tiebreaker to UNLV (SDSU gets the #1 spot) and then I don’t know how they would break up UNM and Utah, since none of the teams after UNLV beat either of us. Of course, if we beat UNM or BYU we should end up with the championship, so it won’t matter. If we don’t, we’ll be a 2 or a 3, probably.

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Feb 23, 2009 12:51 PM MST up reply actions  

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