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Utes crumble, lose to Cougars in Provo

Ouch! 

Losses to BYU are never easy to take, especially when they're like this. 

Where to begin? 

The Utes struggled for most of the first half, but were fortunate the Cougars were equally as bad. Though I think Utah got off to a good enough start, they blew too many chances to really expand their lead in the first. 

The moment things began to slip away for Utah in this game came late in the first half. Lawrence Borha had just hit a huge three to put Utah up eight and it looked like they might be pulling away from the Cougars, who up until this point had been in a shooting slump. After a BYU miss, Kim Tillie went up for the board, but tipped the ball in on accident, giving the Cougars two points. 

Not the end of the world, right? Well after a sloppy posession, which ended with a turnover, Lee Cummard came down and hit a huge three. That seemed to get Cummard into a rhythm, since he wasn't doing much of anything up until that point. But most importantly, it was a five-point swing for BYU. The Utes went from possibly rebounding a missed Cougar shot and expanding their lead to double digits to only leading by 3. 

Though the teams traded baskets the rest of the half, you got the sense Utah was in trouble. I said as much in the all-too-quiet game thread at the half:

Utes hold a slim first half lead, but the flow of the game favors BYU.

To be in this game with how poorly they’ve played in the first half does not bode well for Utah. The Utes need to step it up because they should be winning this one by double digits and I expect the Cougars to come out of the gate hot in the second half.

I don’t know about this…

You could sense something was off, especially in the final two or three minutes of the half. Utah went from leading by eight to completely collapsing and allowing BYU back into the game. It was not a pretty sight and while the defense looked good at the break, the second half seemed to prove it was more BYU missing shots than anything the Utes were doing. 

My fears of BYU coming out of the gate hot in the second half were proven, because that's exactly what they did. They opened the second hitting shot after shot and slowly building a comfortable lead. Utah, on the other hand, missed shot after shot and turned the ball over a dozen times it seemed in a matter of minutes.

Much of this was due to BYU's zone defense. The Utes could not break it down and get the ball into Luke Nevill, who struggled offensively in this game. But since they couldn't hit from anywhere on the court, the Cougars closed off the inside, while waiting for Utah to fall apart trying to get it into Nevill. With no outside shot, their offense faltered and that resulted in a flood of turnovers.

So why did Utah turn the ball over so much? Two words: Luka Drca. 

Now I normally don't like to rail on players and I rarely do it, but Drca had 6 turnovers, one more than the entire BYU team had the entire game! And while that wasn't the reason Utah lost (shooting 29% from the field didn't help), it did make their task that much more difficult. 

So when Jim Boylen pulled Drca in the second half, with Utah down about ten, what happens? Utah goes on a run and gets back into the game. I don't want to question Boylen's coaching, but why bring him back into the game when you're in striking distance? The team you have on the floor claws its way back into the game and you make a coaching adjustment, bringing in a player who has struggle for most of the night? I don't get that and if someone can explain it, please do, because I think that was a stupid move by Boylen.

Did it cost Utah the game? No, but you never know how things would've developed if he had kept with the players who got Utah back into the game. 

With all that said, what does this loss mean for Utah? Well it's unlikely they win an outright championship now, unless they can somehow win at New Mexico or Wyoming wins out at home (knocking off both BYU & the Lobos). It also hurts their seeding in the NCAA Tournament, which makes the next three or four games (assuming they can win a game or two in the conference tournament) very important. If Utah loses to New Mexico, beats TCU and loses in the first round of the Mountain West Tournament, not only does their RPI drop, but so does their seeding. 

Oh well. Tough loss to BYU, but now Utah needs to get back on track and figure out a way to win at New Mexico. I'd much rather beat the Cougars in Provo than the Lobos in Albuquerque, but I'll still take a win in The Pit, so let's make it happen!

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Comments

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We will be fine.

I, being a disgustingly big Utah fan, did not really think that we were going to win at BYU on Saturday anyway. But not all is lost. Let’s not forget, we STILL have a game lead on everyone in the standings, INCLUDING BYU. Even if we lose at New Mexico, the Cougars and Lobos would both have to WIN OUT to tie us in the standings. That means that BOTH of them would have to win at Wyoming. We are the only team THIS SEASON to win there. Until this feat happens, don’t worry TOO much. Let’s also not forget that this Utah team had an EIGHT GAME WINNING STREAK going before the loss on Saturday. They will be fine. I fully expect us to come out playing well on Tuesday against New Mexico and I predict that it will be a close game that could go either way. I hope that the Utes come out with a chip on their shoulder and try to prove to us all that the team that we saw on Saturday was NOT who this team really is.

by pappyman on Mar 2, 2009 1:50 AM MST reply actions   0 recs

Everyone did what they were expected to do on Saturday.

So we’re left with the following:

If we beat UNM on the road we’ll win the conference outright.

If the top 3 teams (Utah, BYU and UNM) end tied at 12-4, then the tournament would look like this:

Utah: 12-4 with losses to SDSU, UNM, UNLV and BYU. Now 11-3. @UNM, TCU left.
BYU: 12-4 with losses to Utah, UNLV (2), UNM. Now 10-4. @Wyoming, AF left.
UNM: 12-4 with losses to Utah, SDSU, UNLV, BYU. Now 10-4. Utah, @Wyoming left.
SDSU: 11-5 with losses to Utah, Wyoming, BYU (2), New Mexico. 9-5 now. CSU, and UNLV left.
UNLV: 9-7 with losses to Utah, Wyoming, SDSU (2), New Mexico, TCU, CSU:. 8-6 now. AF and @SDSU left.
Wyoming: 7-9 with wins over SDSU, CSU, AF(2), UNLV, TCU. 7-7 now. UNM and BYU left.
TCU: 5-11 with wins over CSU, UNLV, AF (2), Wyoming. 5-10 now. @ Utah left.
CSU: 4-12 with wins over AF (2), TCU, UNLV. Now 4-11. @SDSU left.
AF: 0-16 with no wins. Now 0-14. @UNLV, and @BYU left.

If that happens then BYU is the #1 seed because of the sweep of SDSU. I’ve heard that RPI is the 3rd tie-breaker. I’ve also heard that it’s a coin flip. I’m going to assume it’s RPI, for now. There are no non-exclusive sweeps between UNM and Utah (both swept CSU, TCU, AF and Wyoming, no other sweeps), so if RPI is the tiebreaker Utah (#9 as of last ranking) will be #2 and UNM (#70 as of last ranking) will be #3.

#1. BYU v. #9. AF / #8. CSU winner
#2. Utah v. #7. TCU
#3. UNM v. #6. Wyoming
#4. SDSU v. #5. UNLV

Of course, if Wyoming holds serve at home then Utah will be #1 by itself, even at 12-4. Then the tournament would look like this:

#1. Utah v. #9. AF / #8. CSU winner
#2. BYU v. #7. TCU
#3. UNM v. #6. Wyoming (because they lost to BYU and UNLV didn’t)
#4. SDSU v. #5. UNLV

The only really important games are the following:

Utah v. UNM
BYU v. UW
UNLV v. SDSU

UW beating BYU would make Utah the #1 seed over UNM. SDSU losing to UNLV at home would make UNLV the 4 and SDSU the 5. Which would also make Utah the #1 seed because UNLV swept BYU and Utah split with them. And of course, Utah beating UNM (and TCU the following game) would make them the #1 seed and the outright conference champions. Basically, any of these games go Utah’s way and Utah will be #1. UNM v. UW only matters if UW beats BYU. If they do that then that game would determine if UNM is a co-champion with Utah, but either way, Utah would get the #1 spot in the tourney.

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Mar 2, 2009 1:20 PM MST reply actions   0 recs

Yes, if Utah can't win tonight, we all become huge Cowboys fans.

Which makes me sick, but gotta take one for the team.

by JazzyUte on Mar 3, 2009 4:51 PM MST up reply actions   0 recs

Now it's down to the UNLV v. SDSU game

If UNLV wins on Saturday then Utah is the #1. If SDSU wins then BYU is the #1. I would almost rather be #2, because the #1 team plays UNLV or SDSU (#4/#5) in the 2nd round, and the #2 team plays New Mexico (#3) or Wyoming (#6).

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Mar 5, 2009 10:44 AM MST up reply actions   0 recs

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