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Here's hoping they're right

Preseason predictions are always spotty at best, so it's best to not take stock in one over another. Which is why consensus is always the way to go when establishing what to expect heading into a season. 

For the Utes, they're projected anywhere from third in the Mountain West to first. Most believe they're either borderline top-25 or ranked heading into this season. Like I said, it's pretty much all over the place, since there is a big difference between finishing first and third -- a BCS bowl bid, for starters. 

One of the most optimistic predictions for the Utes comes from College Football Poll.com. They have Utah going undefeated and easily winning the Mountain West. Extremely high expectations that are pretty much based on computer rankings. How accurate are they? Well it's hard to say, though last year they did have Utah finishing 11-1 (one of the better predictions out there). In fact, if you look at their past projections, they've been fairly close in most cases since they began in 1994. 

The only seasons they've been extremely off were 2000, 2002 and 2003. In the former two, they picked Utah to do better than they actually did and in the latter, worse. But that isn't much of a surprise, since in 2000 the Utes were coming off a solid 9-3 season and were expected to win the Mountain West. Their performance, a 4-7 campaign, showed the first sings the program was stagnating under McBride. A near mirror image of a season took place two years later, when the Utes fell to 5-7 after an 8-4 season the year prior. 2003, of course, was such an unknown since Urban Meyer was a new coach and the Utes were coming off an average year.

Hopefully they're right this season and the Utes are undefeated again. I won't expect it, though, but that doesn't mean I can't hope.

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with the new rose bowl changes undefeated may not be necessary

I think winning the MWC with 1 loss would give Utah a very good shot at a Rose Bowl bid.

by hotdawgin on Jul 28, 2009 7:53 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

I could die a happy man if the Utes received a bid to the Rose Bowl next year.

Could you imagine them getting it and winning?

Fiesta
Sugar
Rose

Uh…I’m wet now.

by JazzyUte on Jul 28, 2009 2:04 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Plus, nobody wants to go to the stupid Orange Bowl anyway. That place is a dump.

I’d take the Fiesta, Sugar and Rose bowl every day over the Orange Bowl (unless, of course, we’re playing for the whole ball of crystal wax).

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Jul 28, 2009 3:06 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, I'm really not interested in playing in the Orange Bowl...

Unless it’s hosting the NC game like last year.

Plus, if the Utes are stuck in the non-NC Orange Bowl, they’d most likely be playing a Big East or ACC team and that doesn’t interest me much.

In my mind, the two best BCS bowls out there are the Sugar & Rose and the Utes have already won one of those…

by JazzyUte on Jul 28, 2009 3:26 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hadn't even thought of that.

Orange bowl does have the worst set of opponents.

I mean, Rose bowl would be a PAC 10 or Big 10 champion, since it is unlikely both the PAC 10 and the Big 10 send their champs to the title game, and we’d be taking the title game participant’s spot.

The Fiesta bowl is normally a big 12 champion or 2nd-place team. The Sugar Bowl is normally an SEC team. Good options. Orange bowl? ACC (lame) or Big East (lamer and already taken care of).

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Jul 28, 2009 4:05 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

Utah would have ended up ranked #5, at best. No doubt about it, it would have been worse in just about every way.

by Ute in DC on Jul 28, 2009 4:25 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Rose Bowl Rule Change Takes Effect for 2011 Game

L.A. Times Link

Starting with the 2011 game, the Rose Bowl must fill the empty slot with a non-BCS team if that team is ranked No. 12 or higher. . . . But once the Rose Bowl takes one non-BCS team, it has fulfilled its obligation and can revert to the old rules until the current contract expires in 2014.
So it probably won’t happen next year, and once a non-BCS teams breaks the barrier, it might not happen again.

by Ute in DC on Jul 28, 2009 4:37 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

That actually makes it better for the Utes...

Because the 2010 season is shaping up to be similar to the 2008 season.

Opener against an elite team on the road (ND in place of Michigan) and hardest conference games at home (TCU and BYU).

I certainly believe a 2010 BCS bowl bid for the Utes as very likely. Especially if they win 10-11 games this year.

by JazzyUte on Jul 28, 2009 4:55 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think they also picked us to upset Alabama in the Sugar Bowl.

If I remember correctly. Their computer model appears to be pretty accurate.

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Jul 28, 2009 9:50 AM MDT reply actions   0 recs

Nope, I went back and looked. It was whatifsports.com that predicted the Sugar Bowl upset.

Anybody know if whatifsports.com does a season preview? I’d be interested to see that.

Everyone hates a pink-shirt-wearing communist.

by displacedute on Jul 28, 2009 9:53 AM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

I believe they did a preview last year...

So maybe they will again this season.

This was their projections for the MWC last year:

Mountain West BYU 11 – 2
Mountain West TCU 10 – 3
Mountain West Utah 10 – 3

That was released right before the season began, so I’d look for something later next month.
(their MWC prediction wasn’t that far off.

by JazzyUte on Jul 28, 2009 2:08 PM MDT up reply actions   0 recs

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