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Utah State (0-0) @ #19 Utah (0-0)

Usuwhite_medium Utah_medium

Date & Time: September 3rd, 2009
TV: the mtn.
Radio: Kall 700
Location: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
All-time series: Utah leads 78-26-4

Last meeting: Utah 58, USU 10

 

The Utes kick off the 2009 season with a very familiar foe - an opponent who is in just as much transition as Utah. It will also mark the return of Gary Andersen, who left the the Utes to take the head gig up in Logan after the Aggies fired struggling coach Brent Guy. 

Those struggles last year have pretty much been the norm for Utah State, who haven't produced a winning record in over a decade. Their push through mediocrity has forced them back in this series, which is evident by their lack of any recent success against Utah. It's probably unlikely to expect - in his first season - that to really change. Though the Aggies do offer an inexperienced Ute offense a test. 

Those offensive questions are the biggest issues facing Utah this season. Last year, Brian Johnson cemented himself as the most successful quarterback in Utah history and his loss will not be easy to replace. The fact the Utes have yet to decide on a starting quarterback at this time also creates a bit of doubt heading into Thursday's game. 

For Utah State, Andersen does not have much talent to work with. This is the problem when taking over a historically bad program. The talent gap between you and your opponents at times can be extremely wide and I expect that to be the case this week. With that said, Andersen is a good coach and I believe he has the ability to squeeze out every last drop of talent from what returns this season. 

At quarterback, junior Diondre Borel returns. Borel had been the third option entering the 2008 season, yet took control of the offense three games in and didn't do too bad of a job. He led the Aggies in both passing and rushing - and in the latter set a school record for a quarterback. He is dangerous and as a duel-threat, will most certainly test Utah's defense early. 

Beyond Borel, though, there isn't much to be nervous about. If Utah State is going to take it up a notch on offense, running back Robert Turbin needs to step up. Last season, he wasn't bad, but didn't get nearly as many touches as he should have. On the season, Turbin ran the ball for 485-yards and only had three games with double-digit carries. That will have to change, because as good as Borel can be, without a solid running game to lean on, the offense could struggle. 

Senior wideout Omar Sawyer will also play a role in how far the Aggie offense goes this season. The coaching staff feels he could be one of their best weapons on the offensive side and with sophomore Stanley Morrison and senior Nnamdi Gwacham joining him, things could progress far better this year than last. 

Ultimately, USU's offense will live or die by their line. Last year, they ranked near the bottom in the nation in sacks allowed, giving up nearly 3 per game. That number needs to change or it could be a long season again for an Aggie offense that ranked 84th in yards-per-game in 2008. 

Of course, Andersen is a defensive guy and if there is one place USU needs to work on, it's here. Last season, Utah State ranked near the bottom in points allowed - they gave up almost 35 - and that number needs to come down dramatically, or they're going to finish just as poorly as they did in '08.

They do have some talent, however, and Andersen should get the most out of it because of his background. If he can, things will improve and they'll be in far more games than they were a year ago.

If there are concerns, it's the Aggies secondary. The responsibility to turn that around lies with senior cornerback Kejon Murphy and senior James Brindley. Brindley led the team in interceptions last season with three and Andersen will be counting on that type of play again this year. 

That secondary did have issues, though. Last year, they gave up on average 251 yards through the air per game and again, this is a number that will need to change if they're going to improve this season. If it doesn't and the Aggies are locked down toward the bottom once more, it seems unlikely they could be much better than their 2008 counterparts. 

Which seems to be very possible. I'm not saying Andersen won't get things turned around there, but it might be asking too much for them to get it turned around that fast. Especially when you realize, like Andersen, Guy was a former defensive coordinator who came in highly touted. Just because you're a defensive coach does not necessarily mean you are capable of getting it done right away. 

Because of this, I find it hard to expect much out of USU against the Utes. That isn't to say they won't play them tough and maybe they can take this game into the fourth quarter (USU did do that in 2005),  but it seems very unlikely victory is attainable for them. There hasn't been enough change over the course of the year to lessen the problems that led to Utah's 58-10 pounding last season. 

Unless disaster happens, the Utes should start the season 1-0.

Utah wins if...There isn't disaster. I don't really foresee a scenario where the Aggies march into RES and walk away victorious. Yes, that sounds like I'm overlooking them, but I'm not. Until USU proves it on the field, it's hard to expect anything different than the last eleven results.

Utah State wins if...Terrance Cain or Jordan Wynn aren't very good and they turn the ball over a ton of times. If that happens, which would essentially require a disaster, then the Aggies just may pull out a stunner.

What will happen...Utah's offense will struggle a bit early, as Wynn/Cain get the feel of the game. The defense will create a few turnovers - maybe even score on them - and put the Utes in easy scoring position. By the second half, Wynn/Cain look far sharper and lead Utah to a fairly solid victory. Utes win 35-13.

Let's hear your predictions...

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Nice summary...

I’ll go with 24 – 6 Utes.

I’m not very confident in the offense right now. With a new QB, OC, a couple holes in the O-line, and a couple big playmakers gone from last year, I think it will take some time. However I think the Utes defense will carry the load.

I’m excited to get back to Rice-Eccles and see the new turf. Should be a fun game.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Aug 30, 2009 10:56 PM MDT reply actions  

Like I said...

I expect the defense to make it easier for the offense.

Maybe a few interceptions on their side of the field, allowing Cain/Wynn to work with a short field.

A fumble or two.

The defense pinning them deep in USU’s own territory, forcing them to punt from maybe the 10-15-20 yardline and allowing Utah a good starting point.

That’s how it was in 2006 when utah rolled them like 48-0. It wasn’t really the offense that performed at a high level, but the defense.

by JazzyUte on Aug 30, 2009 11:24 PM MDT up reply actions  

34-17 Utah.

It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see the Ags come out with a lot of energy, while Utah looks tenative and tight. Maybe 7-3 Aggies after the first quarter.

After that, though, we’ll bust a few big plays, get some stops on defense, and it’ll be smooth sailing after that.

I almost hope that the #2 guy comes in and has a horrible game. Maybe 3-8 for 25 yards and a INT. Just so it can shake the coaches from this idea that it’s smart to try and play two QB’s during meaningful time.

by BoylenOver on Aug 31, 2009 2:18 AM MDT reply actions  

I think Whittingham was dead set against playing two quarterbacks?

Or did he hint at possibly doing this?

Didn’t he learn anything from the UCLA game in 2006?

Seriously, I hope this is just a rumor. I mean, I can see playing Cain/Wynn late in the game to see how he does if Utah is sitting on a lead – but when the game is still in hand? Yikes.

by JazzyUte on Aug 31, 2009 2:21 AM MDT up reply actions  

I might be making this up in my head

but I seem to recall Whit saying that both QB’s would see action in the first game and possibly against the Spartans as well.

by BoylenOver on Aug 31, 2009 2:48 AM MDT up reply actions  

Hm...

Maybe I missed it.

Gosh, I hope not. I don’t like that idea at all. I really thought Whittingham was against the two-quarterback option and made it clear early they would set on one quarterback prior to the season.

But then, maybe I’m making that up in my head.

by JazzyUte on Aug 31, 2009 3:14 AM MDT up reply actions  

Keys to the game:

1. Utah has to perform well on Special Teams

Last year, (outside of King Louie of course) the special teams unit was a disaster against the Aggies, This time around the Utes gotta take care of the ball and not give the Aggies any chances at an upset with stupid game changing plays that can easily be avoided.

2. The O-line must keep the QB protected

We all know Gary Anderson loves to shake things up on defense, look for him to rattle Utah’s QB (whoever it is) very early in the game. granted, Anderson doesn’t have the horses (figuratively speaking) with his new team than he had at Utah, but it would still be foolish to underestimate someone who knows Utah very well. On a side note the O-line also must show confidence and good play to shake of the uncertainty critics give them.

3. Utah has to open the playbook

The Brian Johnson era is over. With that said, Dave Schramm needs to waste no time in getting into an offensive rhythm that will not only put this game away early but also give the Utes confidence and momentum for the season ahead. A lot of eyes (and expectations) are gonna be on Schramm to do better than his predecessor Andy Ludwig and as such, Schramm need to establish Utah’s offensive identity and make the most of the great talent he has.

My Prediction: I see the Offense maybe struggling a little early, but as long as they don’t make too many mistakes early and let their great defense do their job, I see the Utes winning by a comfortable margin

Utah 37, Utah State 14

by GambitUte on Aug 31, 2009 7:59 AM MDT reply actions  

I think we are all going to be surprised...

Cain will surpass expectations and the Offense will be prepared and efficient.
Defense has a legacy to protect.

Utah 41 USU 6

“Utah Football: Raisign Cain”
will be a headline somewhere early in the season…maybe after upset of Oregon.

by starstation on Aug 31, 2009 9:48 AM MDT reply actions  

Utah State Looks Good!

But loses big to a Utah team that exceeds all expectations.

Lots of hard, hard hitting.

by MeanBobMean on Aug 31, 2009 12:17 PM MDT reply actions  

QBs

I think who ever starts, starts and plays most of the game. Then when it gets out of hand in the Utes favor (hopefully) then the 2nd QB will get some work in.

by Jeremy Mauss on Sep 2, 2009 10:27 PM MDT reply actions  

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