If Unga comes back, plus their entire OL, the lack of an experienced QB won’t hurt them as much and they’ll stay in the 1-3 range (probably 3rd). If Unga is gone then they lose all of their weapons and they’ll be young enough to lose to AF or Wyoming or SDSU or UNLV and slip to 4th or 5th.

Keep in mind, however, that the top 4 teams (Utah, TCU, AF, BYU) each have some big holes to fill:

Utah: Returns 9/11 on offense (lose Beadles and Reed) but only 3/11 on Defense (Shelby, the DTs, and Burton).
TCU: Returns 8/11 on offense (loses two linemen and their RB) and 6/11 on Defense, but lose Hughes and Washington.
BYU: Returns a lot of offense (7/11), but loses QB, top 2 TEs, and RB. On Defense returns 5/11 but loses a lot of playmakers/experience (Jorgensen, 4 of top 5 LBs, etc)
AF: Returns as much as the rest of the top 4 (6/11 on offense, but loses entire OL; 7/11 on defense, loses most of DL). Returns top rushers and QB, which is very important for running the triple option.

So it’s hard to say who is the most loaded. TCU returns 14 starters, Utah returns 12, BYU returns 12, AF returns 13. All of them lose playmakers (Utah loses Reed, Misi, Sly, RoJo; TCU loses Hughes, Washington, Turner, Sanders, Priest; BYU loses Hall, Unga, Pitta, Jorgensen; AF loses Moore and Garland, plus the entire OL).

It appears Utah and TCU have the easiest road (if Unga is leaving) because their losses should be well-covered by the talent in the program. BYU loses some things that won’t be easily replaced. Hall was a great QB, Unga was their best RB since Staley, there really isn’t much TE talent behind Pitta/George, who are both gone, and Jorgensen is their best DE in a long time. AF has to replace an entire OL, which will cause them problems even with a great QB/HB/FB.

at utah. he was i think a 3 star recruit. can’t remember the name just that he switched schools. so did alot of other high school kids. they change their minds alot.