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Colorado State (2-5) @ # 9 Utah (6-0)

DENVER - SEPTEMBER 04:  Quarterback Pete Thomas #4 of the Colorado State Rams bobbles the ball and recovered his own fumble against the Colorado Buffaloes during the the Rocky Mountain Showdown at INVESCO Field at Mile High on September 4 2010 in Denver Colorado. Colorado was awarded the Centenial Trophy after they defeated Colorado State 24-3.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)

In 2002, the Colorado St. Rams had just wrapped up its third conference title in four years. They were the most successful and consistent program the conference had produced in its young history. Utah, though, was a struggling program. The Utes had finished that 2002 season with a losing record and had fired head coach Ron McBride. 

It's hard to imagine back in that December so much could change so quickly for these two programs. Since that season, the Rams are 36-56 and the Utes 75-20. Colorado State's struggles almost perfectly link up to Utah's recent success. In fact, that 2003 season was really the turning point for both programs. The Utes went 10-2 and the Rams were 7-6. Not an awful record - but the six losses were the most Sonny Lubick had seen since his first year in Fort Collins. 

It never got better and after 15 years, Lubick retired, leaving the struggling program in Steve Fairchild's hands. 

Star-divide

Initially, it looked like Fairchild was the right hire. Colorado State had its best season since winning the conference in 2002 and won its first bowl game in seven years. The thought was that he brought a new type of energy to a program that was obviously lacking it. This seemed even more evident after the Rams started last season 3-0. That success, though, was hard to sustain and Colorado State ended 2009 losing nine straight. 

2010 has been a bit better. They're already one win away from matching last year's abysmal record. They have also shown some progress the last few weeks. Even then, though, this is a program that is very far from the level we saw during the Lubick glory days. 

Because of that, it's hard to imagine any scenario where the Utes lose Saturday. Colorado State is still not a very good team. Last week's dominant win over UNLV aside, they have struggled. More importantly, they have struggled on the road. There they are 0-3 and have been outscored a combined 131-43. That doesn't bode well against a team that has slaughtered its last five opponents. 

Of course, not every game plays out as the statistics dictate. Weather very well could play a factor in Saturday's game. As of this post, there is a 60% chance of rain and that will certainly change the dynamics of the contest. It won't be enough for the Rams to win, but I believe it could be enough to keep the score rather respectable. 

If that's the case, this might be another sloppy performance for the Utes. Not exactly the perfect situation heading into the toughest stretch of the schedule. We probably all want Utah to be hitting on all cylinders prior to their big game against the Air Force Falcons in Colorado Springs. If the rain is bad, and all indications point to a pretty good downpour, Utah could have issues covering the spread this week - which would be the first time all season they failed to do so in a game. 

Then again, weather conditions can be overplayed. I remember in 2004 watching soaked as the Utes rolled UNLV 63-28. It's also been suggested the defense is negatively impacted more than the offense by rain and snow. If that's the case, Utah could still roll up a lot of points and impress those voters. 

If not, well a win will suffice. 

Utah wins if...They show up, don't turn the ball over and play an effective enough game. No excuses - this is a game they should win easily. 

Colorado State wins if.,.Fairchild somehow manages to suit up the early '00 Rams. 

What will happen...I think Jordan Wynn is going to come out fired up after last week's so-so performance. I'm counting on him not throwing an interception and we see one of the best offensive performances from the Utes this season. Defensively, they'll be the same as the Utes romp to a 58-10 win - rain be damned! 

What are your predictions?

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I'm picking Utah to win

By 5.

"Gentlemen, it is better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football."--John Heisman

by Aardvark on Oct 21, 2010 6:40 PM MDT reply actions  

Yeah

Barberi picked that up form a scenario sent into him about a Utah BYU game, scripted out you know. It didn’t play that way Utah lost by about a thousand points. Anyway, he and everyone else started saying “Utah by 5” and it bevcame like his trademark. He’d have that show where every caller would call in on BYU week and he’d askfor a predition and they’d say “Utah by 5!” and when they said “Well, I think . . .” he’d shout “Utah by 5” and hang up on them.

"Gentlemen, it is better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football."--John Heisman

by Aardvark on Oct 23, 2010 11:56 AM MDT up reply actions  

I think Utah

doesn’t beat the spread (which stood at a crazy 30.5 last I checked), but commands respect with a 38-10 victory.

by Jaziggy on Oct 21, 2010 8:01 PM MDT reply actions  

31.5 in some vegas sportsbooks. they set the bar high to begin with b/c they don't want any team going 12-0 ats

it has never happened and the team that came closest was kansas with 11-1 record(ats) and the game they failed to cover was the mizzou game. it was later in the season too.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Glory favors the bold. Chance favors the prepared mind. Luck, well i have that too. University of Utah goes to the Pac-12 conference in 2011. I expect them to compete immediately for the conference CG. Brock Lesnar will defeat Cain Velasquez. The most hated and misunderstood person on the MMA blogs.. Utah and Boise take care of business in week one. Don't be surprised if they both go undefeated.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Oct 21, 2010 10:35 PM MDT up reply actions  

yes optimism for our blog leader. i could see a score of 56-21.

no turnovers though. if we have 2 or more turnovers no way we cover. csu might have fixed some offensive problems playing the rebels. they did score 42? i’ll give them half of that vs us.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Glory favors the bold. Chance favors the prepared mind. Luck, well i have that too. University of Utah goes to the Pac-12 conference in 2011. I expect them to compete immediately for the conference CG. Brock Lesnar will defeat Cain Velasquez. The most hated and misunderstood person on the MMA blogs.. Utah and Boise take care of business in week one. Don't be surprised if they both go undefeated.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Oct 21, 2010 10:57 PM MDT up reply actions  

Wolfie is right on... for a troll... ;-)

Nice to see Jazzy past his normal doom n’ gloom..

I’m confident but worry more about fumble than interceptions in the rain…

I won’t jinx it but if we play with out turn overs we beat the spread.

Zoo Cougar n. A "special" breed of feline, characterized by its propensity to have its attempts at swallowing a canary inevitably resulting in its choking on crow. See also: Zoobie, Cosmo Nut, Sexless Cat, Hippo-C-Rat origin: It takes a special kind of kitty to try and swallow the canary and end up choking on crow. --Ute Proverb

"If going undefeated in a non-AQ conference is so easy why aren't more teams doing it???" --Andrea Adelson, ESPN?!?

by Ravenous Ute on Oct 22, 2010 2:23 AM MDT up reply actions  

I think Utah tops 40

They’ll be back home, feeding off the crowd and feeling they have something to prove after last week. Wynn will have a much cleaner game and Utah will roll.

I keep accidentally eating my pets. Maybe I should get something less appetizing, like a cat instead of a Twinkie.

Sort-of-daily sort-of-funny sort-of-thoughts at danoftheday.com

by CrimsonUte on Oct 21, 2010 8:36 PM MDT reply actions  

Utah by 28

I dont see utah losing this game even if it rains like the weather channel predicts! CSU has alot of offensive problems this year. true they handled UNLV pretty good but who hasnt? with the weather playing a factor in this game i say 35-7. If the weather isnt as bad as they say it will be im guessing anywhere from 42-56 range from the utes. idk thats my guess! i talked to Wynn a few days ago and the team is fired up so it should be good for us. lets hope! Go Utes

by Jacob E. Rueckert on Oct 22, 2010 1:05 AM MDT reply actions  

Wow... staggering change

Utah timed its excellency well… joke

Just thinking that it could have been Colorado and CSU to the Pac 12 8 years ago.

Zoo Cougar n. A "special" breed of feline, characterized by its propensity to have its attempts at swallowing a canary inevitably resulting in its choking on crow. See also: Zoobie, Cosmo Nut, Sexless Cat, Hippo-C-Rat origin: It takes a special kind of kitty to try and swallow the canary and end up choking on crow. --Ute Proverb

"If going undefeated in a non-AQ conference is so easy why aren't more teams doing it???" --Andrea Adelson, ESPN?!?

by Ravenous Ute on Oct 22, 2010 2:20 AM MDT reply actions  

It's possible...

CSU football was on the brink in the early 00s and fell off the map.

Look at their conference record from 1999-2002:

5-2
6-1

5-2
6-1

Records in bold they won the Mountain West.

Since:

4-3
3-4
5-3
1-7
2-6
4-4
0-8

Yikes.

by JazzyUte on Oct 22, 2010 2:30 AM MDT up reply actions  

utah covers

36-3 the defense gets 2 turnovers in the rams territory and only allows a 3rd quarter FG.
shaky & dunn have 200+ kick/punt return yards. asiata/wide III 189 rushing 3TD

by McCracken on Oct 22, 2010 9:26 AM MDT reply actions  

Good pick

"Gentlemen, it is better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football."--John Heisman

by Aardvark on Oct 23, 2010 11:57 AM MDT up reply actions  

Weather update from the fine folks at weather.com...

Expect rain starting at 11 am and pretty much continuing into Sunday.

by JazzyUte on Oct 22, 2010 1:04 PM MDT reply actions  

No

We’ll cover.

"Gentlemen, it is better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football."--John Heisman

by Aardvark on Oct 23, 2010 11:57 AM MDT up reply actions  

The game will be over by Sunday

Why would they care about the weather then????

"Gentlemen, it is better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football."--John Heisman

by Aardvark on Oct 23, 2010 11:57 AM MDT up reply actions  

Rain!!!

well CSU focuses on the passing game to win ball games and rain doesnt help them at all with that haha, i expect this game to be nasty! i dont see utah letting them get alot of rushing yards. i still think its 35-7 with the rain playing a factor in this. But then again dont under estimate CSU! i still think we crush them but not like everyone thinks since weather really does play a roll in this game.

by Jacob E. Rueckert on Oct 22, 2010 3:26 PM MDT reply actions  

WoooooooooHooooooooo, WORLD SERIES!!!!!

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Oct 23, 2010 12:08 AM MDT reply actions  

congrats!

"Gentlemen, it is better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football."--John Heisman

by Aardvark on Oct 23, 2010 11:58 AM MDT up reply actions  

I hate the Yankees as much as I do the TDS

I’ll bet this is the only time the city of Dallas cares more about the Rangers than the Cowboys.

Three teams I despise: Georgetown Hoyas, BYU Cretins, and the New York Yankees.

by Michael Simpson on Oct 23, 2010 1:35 PM MDT up reply actions  

Yeah...

you’re probably right. I’ve never lived there, but it’s obviously a football/Cowboys first area.

This has to be the first time that the Cowboys season is basically over before the Rangers. That makes me laugh.

And yes, the Yankees suck. It made it all the sweeter that the Rangers went through them, and the last out was A-Rod to boot.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Oct 23, 2010 11:35 PM MDT up reply actions  

Syracuse won!!!!

Wow, the Big East is going to have the shittiest AQ team ever. Worse than the Pitt team that Utah clobbered.

Now to find if Utah is on TV…which I know it isn’t, but I was hoping.

Three teams I despise: Georgetown Hoyas, BYU Cretins, and the New York Yankees.

by Michael Simpson on Oct 23, 2010 1:34 PM MDT reply actions  

Iowa State beat Texas

Should be helpful to us, I suppose.

Three teams I despise: Georgetown Hoyas, BYU Cretins, and the New York Yankees.

by Michael Simpson on Oct 23, 2010 1:57 PM MDT reply actions  

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