Well I guess it's never too early to project the Vegas lines
College football is a lot like Christmas. It starts earlier and earlier every year. I mean, how else do you explain predicting the opening lines for week one's biggest games? That's just insanity!
But it's something and I'll gladly run with it. Especially since it involves the Utes and their huge opener against the Pitt Panthers.
This guy puts the line at Utah by 3. I can believe it. I think, as does he, that Pitt will enter the game ranked higher and will probably be projected as the better team. However, unless you're a top-five team, it is extremely difficult flying across country to open a game on a Thursday against a team that hasn't lost at home since early 2007.
But this game obviously won't be easy and the fact he believes the Utes are only a three-point favorite at home suggests this. You're generally given some benefit of the doubt when the backdrop is your own town. Had this game been played in Pittsburgh, there is little doubt that the Panthers are not only the favorites - but clear ones at that.
So with news being slow lately (it sucks, but it is spring), what are your initial predictions for that game? Is it one Utah should win or is this going to be a barn-burner similar to their game against Oregon State in 2008?
I'm inclined to think it's the latter.
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Line seems about right...
…being that we are in May. Things may change. I think we should be favored. I guess based on some of the early early preseason polls we’ll either be just inside the top 25 or just out.
If we're not in the top-25, does that change the line?
Let’s say Utah is 28th to start the season and Pitt is 13th.
That’s a pretty big difference. Does that change the line? Our expectations?
I mean, it really doesn’t matter because if Utah wins, they’ll walk into the top-25 and we shouldn’t ever build our expectations (unless it comes to potentially busting the BCS) on where we start the season ranked (if at all). But it does give us something to talk about I guess.
ESPN
Had us ranked out of the top twenty five in their poll of 26 college football “experts.”
The real problem is this, starting that far back, how high can we go no matter how well we play?
People, especially sportswriters, rarely are perfectly fine with being proven wrong and will simply argue that they were right, just Utah won and everyone else lost, so let’s keep the other guys up there. Now, if Utah is 5-0 and we’ve smacked some heads in? Yah, we’ll be ranked, but hope for some early losses at the top of the food chain excepting TCU then pray we beat their butts in SLC.
if or when utah is 5-0 they would be ranked in the top 12 in the nation with wins over pitt
and iowa state. iowa state did win their bowl game last year and could win 7 or 8 games this year. utah gets alot of credit when the beat an aq bcs team b/c we have 19 of them. plus utah has been in the national spotlight so the writers would look favorably on us.
I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. I was building a house, I don't deserve this, deserves have nothing to do with it. Bang. "Unforgiven" I drink your milkshake. I drink it up! "There Will BE Blood". Hell is just a word, the reality is much much worse." Event Horizon". Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you're not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean, I mean plumb, mad dog mean. cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live or win. That's just the way it is. "The Outlaw Josey Wales". "And that's just what these hustlers look for. They cruise from casino to casino looking for weak players the way lions look for weak antelope". Ace Rothstein, The Movie "Casino" 1995.
by wolfmanshowlforever on May 11, 2010 1:49 PM MDT up reply actions
it will be the other way around utah +3
pitt has been in everybody’s preseason poll for this upcoming season. utah has been in a few but at around 23. pitt has that heisman hopeful dion lewis. utah just has guys who just outwork and outplay you. when the lines come up in nevada i’ll tell you. i saw tcu -4 vs oregon state on another blog. i actually think it will be a little higher but i got tcu winning by at least 10 points over osu in the new cowboy stadium (osu breaking in new qb as well) the most interesting line will be boise state vs virginia tech. it’s basically a home game for v.t. but bsu is by far the best covering team in the nation for the past 14 years. i will say bsu +2 just b/c you usually get a fg when it’s a home game. this is technically a home game at fedex field for v.t.
I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. I was building a house, I don't deserve this, deserves have nothing to do with it. Bang. "Unforgiven" I drink your milkshake. I drink it up! "There Will BE Blood". Hell is just a word, the reality is much much worse." Event Horizon". Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you're not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean, I mean plumb, mad dog mean. cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live or win. That's just the way it is. "The Outlaw Josey Wales". "And that's just what these hustlers look for. They cruise from casino to casino looking for weak players the way lions look for weak antelope". Ace Rothstein, The Movie "Casino" 1995.
by wolfmanshowlforever on May 11, 2010 1:47 PM MDT up reply actions
I like this quote by him
Pittsburgh will be the higher-ranked team, but traveling across the country for a Thursday night game in what will be a raucous environment won’t be easy.
Rice-Eccles will be rocking that night.
Mountain West Connection
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by Michael Rueckert on May 10, 2010 1:08 PM MDT reply actions
I agree...it'll be an awesome game.
Hopefully it’s similar to the TCU game in 2008 but less cold. haha
i want a 38 to 17 beatdown so i can see mark mays unsmirkiness face. lol.
did i just make a word up?
I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. I was building a house, I don't deserve this, deserves have nothing to do with it. Bang. "Unforgiven" I drink your milkshake. I drink it up! "There Will BE Blood". Hell is just a word, the reality is much much worse." Event Horizon". Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you're not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean, I mean plumb, mad dog mean. cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live or win. That's just the way it is. "The Outlaw Josey Wales". "And that's just what these hustlers look for. They cruise from casino to casino looking for weak players the way lions look for weak antelope". Ace Rothstein, The Movie "Casino" 1995.
by wolfmanshowlforever on May 11, 2010 1:51 PM MDT up reply actions

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