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Utah's 2010 schedule ranked by difficulty

Maybe I'm in the minority here in my thinking, but overall, I believe this schedule is actually not bad. It's arguably easier than last year's due to the fact the Utes get nearly every tough game at home.

Which is why I'm excited and have high expectations for this season.

With that said, I'm not going to suggest the schedule is a walk in the park. It isn't. The Utes also, as a whole, will face tougher competition than they did in 2009 - albeit barely. But like I said, the home games make this schedule far more tolerable than what we've experienced in years past (I'm thinking 2007 and 2009).

It also means we'll witness some great football at Rice-Eccles Stadium this year. In fact, I can't think of a recent season where the home schedule has been as good as it will be in 2010. 

Hopefully the Utes take advantage of it. 

So what will be the hardest and easiest game on the schedule? My rankings after the jump.

Star-divide

San Jose State

The Spartans were awful last year and probably won't be much better this season. They are an unknown due to the replaced coaching staff, but you've got to think they don't pose much of a threat for the Utes. Sure, they took Utah into the fourth quarter last year - but that was a very young Ute team playing on the road early in the season. This situation will be dramatically different, as Utah will be a bit more experienced and the game will be here in Salt Lake City. It also comes four weeks into the season, so an upset seems fairly unlikely. 

UNLV

Outside of 2007, these games have always gone to Utah and they're rarely ever close. Last season's contest down in Vegas fit that trend and I think this year's game will, as well. The Rebels, like the Spartans, are an unknown due to their coaching change. However, I don't expect that to dramatically change the program's face. If it does, I'm betting the transition from bottom-feeder to contender will take more than two weeks (these two meet in week two at RES). 

@ New Mexico

I know there are a lot of Ute fans who still tremble at the thought of playing the Lobos due to the closeness of the games recently. However, I'm banking on those times being over - especially after the egg they laid last year. Not only did they manage to lose eleven games, they also were destroyed by Utah. Who, if you'll remember, was starting a freshman quarterback for the first time.

Are the Lobos good enough to wipe away a 45-14 disadvantage, even with the game being played on their home field? Not likely. The days of New Mexico giving Utah fits probably ended the second Rocky Long was forced out of there. 

Colorado State

The Rams were terrible last year. I mean, down right painful to watch. It's hard to believe they started the season at 3-0 and then subsequently finished it 3-9. This a year after winning the New Mexico Bowl. I expect them to be marginally better, but with the game in Salt Lake, they stand no real chance. 

@ San Diego State

The Aztecs weren't bad last year, but they did under perform solely because they lost two must-win games against poor Mountain West teams. With three games to go (one against Utah), the Aztecs sat at 4-5 and only needed to win two to become bowl eligible for the first time in a lifetime. That didn't happen, as San Diego State lost to Wyoming, at home, a week before losing to Utah. Their loss to the Utes ended any chance of bowl eligibility and prolonged the agony of the hundred or so Aztec faithful. 

This game will be harder for Utah because it is on the road and I expect San Diego to steadily improve under Brady Hoke. But that improvement shouldn't be enough to push them past the Utes. 

@ Iowa State

The Cyclones were fairly surprising last year, as they finished with a winning record and went to a bowl game. It's possible they're slowly climbing back to mediocrity. It's also possible it was just plain luck and they'll fall back to earth again this season. I expect them to finish somewhere in the middle of all that. 

This is a game Utah should win, but it's also one they could lose if they're caught looking ahead. Of course, that shouldn't be a problem with Wyoming their opponent a week later. 

@ Wyoming

What could be Utah's final trip to Laramie in a very long, long time. The Cowboys were improved last year and played the Utes tough in Salt Lake, so this is certainly not a gimmie. It wasn't that long ago a medicore Wyoming team whooped up on Utah in Laramie (2006). That game still makes me uneasy about trips up to the real world equivalent of Hoth. But the Utes certainly are a better team than 2006 and should have little excuse for not winning this one. 

@ Air Force

I hate playing the Falcons. The games are never easy and they almost always come down to the final play. Each year I say I hope this year is different and it never is. So I suspect this game will, like every other recently, come down to a play or two in the fourth quarter. Hopefully the Utes are at their A-game, because this is certainly one that could be considered a loss.

Interestingly enough, though, the Utes have only lost once to the Falcons since 2003 (2007). So while the games are often almost always close, Utah wins nearly every single time. 

BYU 

This will be the most amped Holy War in the rivalry's history due to the Utes' move to the Pac-10. I expect a lot of emotion, especially after last year's hate-fest. 

But this isn't last year's BYU team. They're rebuilding and while I expect them to be better at the end of the year than at the start, they're not nearly as scary as they've been the last three seasons.

With that said, it's still a rivalry game and you can never take anything for granted. It's at home, which is an added benefit, but the Cougars will be just as pumped as the Utes - so it's definitely a game that could go either way. 

Pittsburgh

I'm super jazzed (ha) for this one. It's the perfect game to kick off the 2010 season. The Panthers are no slouch of a team and will prove to be a very formidable opponent for the Utes. Thankfully, though, it's at RES and Pitt has to travel nearly the length of the continental United States for this one. 

It won't be easy, but a win could signal the Utes are, in fact, poised for something really, really good. 

@ Notre Dame

Personally, the game I'm most looking forward to, as I grew up an Irish and Ute fan. But it's also a game that scares me because going on the road to an environment like South Bend is never easy. Add the fact no one knows what to expect out of Notre Dame and this could be a very difficult game for Utah to win. 

TCU

The ultimate revenge game after the Frogs embarrassed Utah last year. But will revenge be enough to make up the 21-point gap we saw last season? I don't know. All I can say is that at least it's being played in Salt Lake. That makes me more optimistic. Unfortunately, I don't know how optimistic it should make me. 

Overall, I see Utah winning at least ten regular season games. My guess is they finish 10-2 or 11-1.

But I'll be cheering for 12-0. 

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Comments

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Couldn't agree more.

The only thing I would change is that I see a 9-3 season as being a possibility. Not very likely, but we could drop 3 of BYU, Pitt, Notre Dame, TCU.

by SC_Ute on Jun 28, 2010 6:50 AM MDT reply actions  

i really believe we will beatdown byu. i think they will have many injuries and probably will get their second or third string qb

i say the fsu defense will knock out whoever is playing qb for byu.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Fedor: He once had an awkward moment in the cage, just to see what it feels like. Sharks have a week dedicated to him. He would show his feminine side if he had one. He is a lover, not a fighter, but don't get any ideas. He is the most important man in the world. Stay thirsty my comrades b/c i will never fight in the UFC. Sorry Fedor but in America Budweiser is the King of beers and Lesnar is a clydesdale while Fedor is just a mule. Losing to Werdum proves what i have been saying. He is pudgy and is on the donwnside of his career just like his contemporaries in pride like mirko cro cop and noguiera Beat Lesnar, Carwin. JDS, Velasquez or Overeem and i'll be impressed. Just one of them. College Football is still the best sport out there.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Jun 28, 2010 9:32 AM MDT up reply actions  

Good post, Jazzy

I’ve become more and more leery of this game, mostly for the reasons ESPN’s Brian Bennett gives here: http://espn.go.com/blog/bigeast/post/_/id/10261/early-week-1-preview-pittsburgh. I think this game might end up being tougher for Pitt than both the Miami game and @ Notre Dame (which says a lot about the Utah program).

While I love the thrill of starting out the season with a challenge instead of patsy, it would be nice to let our new QB get warmed up against New Hampshire first.

Quick question: is altitude an issue at RES? I’ve read conflicting things.

by PittScriptBlog on Jun 28, 2010 8:46 AM MDT reply actions  

rice-eccles stadium is rought 4700 feet above sea level. i think in the mid third quarter pitt will be felling the effects of it

bring your oxygen tanks. should be a good game but i like utah b/c it’s a home game (and night game)and i can’t pick a team that has a qb with very little ncaa experience.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Fedor: He once had an awkward moment in the cage, just to see what it feels like. Sharks have a week dedicated to him. He would show his feminine side if he had one. He is a lover, not a fighter, but don't get any ideas. He is the most important man in the world. Stay thirsty my comrades b/c i will never fight in the UFC. Sorry Fedor but in America Budweiser is the King of beers and Lesnar is a clydesdale while Fedor is just a mule. Losing to Werdum proves what i have been saying. He is pudgy and is on the donwnside of his career just like his contemporaries in pride like mirko cro cop and noguiera Beat Lesnar, Carwin. JDS, Velasquez or Overeem and i'll be impressed. Just one of them. College Football is still the best sport out there.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Jun 28, 2010 9:29 AM MDT up reply actions  

these guys

should all be in good enough shape altitude should make no difference . . . unfortunately.

by jazzin'jimbo on Jun 29, 2010 12:59 AM MDT up reply actions  

Depends

Different teams handle it with different results. Depends on their conditioning, diet, travel, etc. There doesn’t seem to be a magic formula. FSU and Notre Dame went into Provo and ran right past BYU early. Where Pitt might see a problem is if they are not acclimated and the game is close late, a tad more fatigue is a possibility. People often do not account ofr the dry conditions with the altitude—you dehydrate far more rapidly out here so if any athlete comes in behind on hydration? That guy will likely fade no matter how much a stud he is.

Typically, people in good shape don’t really flinch at 4700 all too much, but it’s all about oxygen replenishment and that is affected at altitude. It makes a greater difference at higher altitudes which is whi denver’s stadium, an extra thousand feet, is considered a tougher place to play.

The real key to pass on to your guys is:

Don’t sleep for two days, forget water, drink tea and coffee, and eat sphaghetti immediately prior to the game.

by MeanBobMean on Jun 29, 2010 7:14 AM MDT up reply actions  

exacctly

a 24 hour water fast is incredibly important . . . key in fact. make sure you pass that on.

don't be hatin on my syntax

by jazzin'jimbo on Jun 30, 2010 5:59 AM MDT up reply actions  

Depends on who you ask

I hiked to the top of Kings Peak (13,528 ft.) with a guy from San Diego. He was a rather athletic guy who handled it well. My brother-in-law from SLC couldn’t handle the altitude change. I think a lot had to do with the athletic shape you are in. Being the first game of the season may hurt Pitt in this regard, but my guess is Pitt will com in shape and ready to play.
I don’t think it will be a big factor. I would say travelling across two time zones into an unfriendly stadium counts for a lot more.

by daedalus17 on Jun 28, 2010 10:49 AM MDT reply actions  

If they drop PITT the wheels come off!

If the Ute’s dump the first game it will be a 9-3 season (ND & TCU being the other 2). If they win it the whole season will come down to TCU @ UTAH for the MTN West Champ and a BCS bid! I say we win it all in our final season and then take down the Pac-10 in 2011! If one happens the other is sure to follow.

by Ute95 on Jun 28, 2010 2:02 PM MDT reply actions  

optimism is a good trait to have.

I'm all about covering the spread and moneylines. Fedor: He once had an awkward moment in the cage, just to see what it feels like. Sharks have a week dedicated to him. He would show his feminine side if he had one. He is a lover, not a fighter, but don't get any ideas. He is the most important man in the world. Stay thirsty my comrades b/c i will never fight in the UFC. Sorry Fedor but in America Budweiser is the King of beers and Lesnar is a clydesdale while Fedor is just a mule. Losing to Werdum proves what i have been saying. He is pudgy and is on the donwnside of his career just like his contemporaries in pride like mirko cro cop and noguiera Beat Lesnar, Carwin. JDS, Velasquez or Overeem and i'll be impressed. Just one of them. College Football is still the best sport out there.

by wolfmanshowlforever on Jun 28, 2010 6:17 PM MDT up reply actions  

watch out man

your almost sounding like a TDS fan . . .

by jazzin'jimbo on Jun 29, 2010 1:01 AM MDT up reply actions  

BCS run

In my opinion, Utah has the ability to win every game on the schedule this season, but they will need to look at the season the same way they did in 2008 by only focusing on 1 game at a time. They cannot afford to look past any opponent this season. If they are able to stay healthy and go week by week, I definitely see the Utes busting the BCS one last time. Here’s to another outstanding season!

by GatorUte on Jun 29, 2010 2:39 AM MDT reply actions  

I feel a one loss team is overdue to make the BCS.

Whether that is UTah, TCU or Boise State is anyone’s guess.

I’ll guess Utah.

BCS Evolution -- Punctuating the Equilibrium - twitter

by utesfan100 on Jun 29, 2010 6:07 AM MDT reply actions  

I just don't see where TCU's one loss comes from

Other than possibly on the road at Utah. They get all 3 non conference games and BYU and AF at home. I think realisticly TCU runs the table and Utah finishes with 1 loss, that would be a fine seasaon.

by I bleed crimson on Jun 30, 2010 10:24 AM MDT up reply actions  

I got no feel

For us or TCU this season. I mean, we should be improved offensively? But we called plays horribly last year. Everyone ascribed our losses to an immature Offense, nope, was play calling.

TCU? They so want us dead. One thing we haven’t mentioned, we area marked team this season. Every MWC team will play us like their bowl game, every non MWC team is aware of our sttret creds now.

This season will be extremely difficult.

by MeanBobMean on Jul 1, 2010 7:29 PM MDT up reply actions  

agreed

on all counts.

poor play calling:

getting rid of ’what’s his bucket’ (the old OC- dooh!) didn’t make for much better; on the plus side, might be why Brian J. was brought in to coach QBs.. being groomed for OC? that is just fine by me.

the Utes will be marked no doubt – and if they are caught looking ahead it could be in for a rough year. should make for some great football.

don't be hatin' on my syntax
"why so seeerious?"
"oh ya mary's - stop being so sensitive!"

by jazzin'jimbo on Jul 2, 2010 4:16 PM MDT up reply actions  

We could run the table

That is why this could be an agonizing season.

by MeanBobMean on Jun 29, 2010 7:16 AM MDT reply actions  

everyone could run the table

one game at a time guys . . . one game at a time . . . ‘lest we forget TDS and the quest for the perfect season. the thing about being a long time ute fan is i learned a long time ago to keep expectations low and then be pleasantly surprised. for years we utes were used to living with a lot of disappointment. if we come out of this season 9-3 with the conference all gunning for us i’ll be okay with that. do i hope for more? hell yes.

don't be hatin on my syntax

by jazzin'jimbo on Jun 30, 2010 6:04 AM MDT reply actions  

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