What Is Yield Sports Betting?

The yield is the percentage return of an investment. In sports betting, the yield is the percentage return that a tipster obtains for each unit wagered.

Its calculation is quite simple, and it’s about dividing the profits obtained from your bets by your stake and then multiplying the result by 100.

Yield = (Profit/stake) x 100

Interpretation Of The Yield In Sports Betting

The yield is an essential measure when evaluating a tipster, but you have to scratch a little to know everything that number tells us about the tipster. It’s very common in sports betting like basketball to discuss what’s more important, whether the yield or the units won.

Still, it’s an open discussion because the profit is a rather lying measure since it doesn’t indicate the actual performance of a tipster. The important thing about yield is that it considers the units played to obtain that benefit, although it can also deceive us if we don't know how to read it well.

It’s pretty common to find very high yields in tipsters who have recently started betting. If a tipster starts with a good winning streak and the sample of picks is small, his yield will be very high, but it’s an unrealistic yield. The yield gains weight and value as the number of picks increases.

It’s common to say that a tipster's yield tends to zero overtime in the betting world. If the tipster is good, it won’t be like that, but it will keep it at an exciting percentage. But if it is real, the yield normalizes as the number of picks increases.

What Yield Tells Us That A Tipster Is Good?

The yield serves to assess a tipster, that is, to know if I am interested in following his bets or not. Over time, the yield of a tipster will be below 20%. There’s no tipster with a large sample that maintains a yield higher than that figure, and we are being generous.

Any yield exceeding 10% indicates that the tipster is excellent. The sample must often be at least 500 picks for the yield to be actual, although the ideal is at least 1000 picks. From 250-300 picks, the yield can already give the accurate measure of a tipster, although it must be clear that the variance can smile in favor of the tipster in those partials.

The issue can be a bit more complicated. In what markets does that tipster forecast? Obtaining a good yield in junior leagues like NCAA is easier than in major leagues like NBA and main markets. Getting a high yield on illiquid bets is easier than getting it on liquid markets.

Obtaining a high yield in special markets (disciplinary, etc.) is easier than obtaining it in those main markets. In some cases, forecasting makes the tipster quite untraceable, which means you’ll have difficulty replicating the tipster's yield. Another point to consider is handling the tipster's stake because the yield can occasionally be "made up". If a tipster starts betting with a usual stake of 5 units on NCAA basketball odds, has a good run, and then uses stake 1, he would be maintaining the stake even if he stops doing well now. He is artificially maintaining his yield.


Therefore, the yield is a measure that marks the quality of the tipster. But it’s also essential to know some more details about the tipster. As a general reference, any tipster with a yield of more than 10% is very good, and anyone with more than 5% in liquid markets is a great tipster.

Trending Discussions